As much as I am able, I plan to supplement my partisan screeds with actual data and research. To that end, I wanted to show just what sort of environment right-wing conservative Erik Paulsen will be dealing with this November.
The 3rd District has been great for a moderate like Jim Ramstad -- leaning Republican, but becoming more and more liberal in recent years, and with voters who are quite willing to cross party lines.
Especially over the past 6 years, 3rd district residents have been voting more Democratic; they are now above the 45% mark for the first time, and nearing 50%.
Even more importantly, they are more than willing to vote across party lines. Look at the spread of the votes in 2006:
In 2006, the votes ranged from a low of 35% Democratic in the congressional race--where Ramstad's moderate credentials carried him--to a high of almost 60% Democratic in the Senate race--in which an articulate Democratic with a message of change faced of against a right-wing lunatic. Sound like an omen to anyone else?
For those who are interested, I've posted some maps showing the slow dem-ification of CD3. These maps show the percentage of total votes in CD3 municipalities from 1998 to 2006.
Feel free to use these maps. They are available on Flickr. Please keep the caption at the bottom; I would also appreciate if you would provide a link to this diary.
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